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hinrichfoundation
JULY2025
advancingsustainableglobaltrade
WillindustrialpolicyrestoreAmericanmanufacturingleadership?
BYSTEWARTPATERSON
SENIORRESEARCHFELLOW,HINRICHFOUNDATION
2
Contents
INTRODUCTION
3
USECONOMICREBALANCING:HOWBIGISTHETASK?
7
OBSTACLESTOSUCCESS
12
THEEVIDENCESOFAR
15
CONCLUSION
17
RESEARCHERBIO:STEWARTPATERSON
18
ENDNOTES
19
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3
Introduction
TherehavebeentwokeydriversbehindtheintensifiedeffortoftheUStore-industrializeitseconomy:economicsandgeopolitics.
TheriseofChinatopre-eminenceinworldmanufacturinghasbecomean
existentialchallengefortheUnitedStates.TariffsinthefirstTrumpadministrationandtheincreasinguseofindustrialpolicysincethenmarkaratchetingupofUSeffortstore-industrializeitseconomy.
Therehavebeentwokeydriversbehindthisintensifiedeffort:economicsand
geopolitics.Ontheeconomicfront,thefallinproductivitygrowthcoincidedwiththedeclineofUSmanufacturingasashareofgrossdomesticproduct(GDP).In
the10yearsto2005,USnon-farmproductivitygrewat3%peryearbutby2020,10-yearrollingproductivitygrowthwasdowntojust1%.Whiletheearlierphaseofglobalization,whichwasalsoassociatedwithadeclineinmanufacturingrelativetoGDP,wasassociatedwithrisingproductivityintheUS,theoppositehasbeentrueinmorerecentyears.
This,whencombinedwithperennialtradedeficitsandthewideningofthedeficitinmanufacturedgoods,hasledsometoconcludethattherehasbeenexcessivede-industrializationintheUS.
Geopolitically,China’sdominanceofmanufacturinghaslefttheUnitedStatesoverlydependentonChinaforcriticalgoods,asituationthatpotentially
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Figure1–Ten-yearrollingUSnon-farmproductivitygrowth(%)
3.5%
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0.0%
Source:BBLS,FRED,andauthor’scalculations
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4
INTRODUCTION
Geopolitically,China’sdominanceofmanufacturinghaslefttheUnitedStatesoverlydependentonChinaforcriticalgoods,asituationthat
potentiallyconstrainsUSfreedomofactionbothdirectlytowardsChinaandmoregenerallyinprotectingitsinterests.
constrainsUSfreedomofactionbothdirectlytowardsChinaandmoregenerallyinprotectingitsinterests.Thisimportdependencyisnotjustlimitedtothemilitary-industrialcomplexbutextendstoproductscriticaltothefunctioningofeverydaylifesuchassmartphonesandpersonalcomputers.
Furthermore,China’sindustrialpolicy-ledeconomicgrowthhasnarrowed
America’stechnologicalleadpotentiallyproducingaself-reinforcingdynamic.
ThereislittleevidencethatChinaisonthecuspoflosingmarketshareinthemanufacturingspacegivenitsdominanceofnewleading-edgeindustries.
Inaddition,China’smanufacturingpre-eminencehasmadeitthelargesttradingpartnerformostcountriesintheworld.Chinahasbecomesocriticaltoglobalsupplychainsthatitsleverageovertheworldhasreachedalevelwhereitcanexertconsiderableinfluencetoachieveitsstrategicgoals.
ThissensethatAmerica’slossofrelativepowerislinkedtoitsde-industrializationhasgivenrisetoadebateabouttherelativemeritsofre-shoring,near-shoring,andfriend-shoringasopposedtothelaissez-faireapproachoftherecentpast
ofsimplybuyingthebestvalueproposition,irrespectiveofthelonger-termgeoeconomicconsequencesorthemannerinwhichthatvalueofferingcameabout.
Awarenessoftheproblemthisde-industrializationpotentiallyposespre-date
bothTrumpandBiden.Forexample,in2012,theObamaadministrationestablishedtheNationalNetworkforManufacturinginnovation(NNMI),sincerenamed
ManufacturingUSA,withaviewtodevelopingpublic-privatepartnershipsto
Figure2一USvs.China:shareofglobalmanufacturingvalueadded(%)
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China
Source:WorldBank
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INTRODUCTION
5
TheUShasbeguntoimplement
significantindustrialpolicymarking
adramaticchangeindirectionfromthepathadoptedduringtheheightofglobalization.
tacklethechallengesfacingUSmanufacturingandensureUSleadershipinmanufacturingtechnology.
Morerecently,theUShasbeguntoimplementsignificantindustrialpolicymarkingadramaticchangeindirectionfromthepathadoptedduringtheheightof
globalization.TheInfrastructureInvestmentandJobsActof2021;theCHIPSandScienceActof2022,andtheInflationReductionActof2022wereallkeypiecesofindustrialpolicyadvancedbytheBidenadministration.
TheCHIPSActprovidedforaboutUS$50billionofsubsidiesandresearchandtrainingfundingforthesemiconductorindustrytogetherwithaboutUS$170
billionofinvestmentinthepublicsectorresearchanddevelopmentecosystem.Importantlyitalsoprovidedfortaxcreditsforinvestmentinsemiconductorandsemiconductorequipmentmanufacturing.
TheInfrastructureInvestmentandJobsActisfocusedonimprovingphysicalinfrastructure,particularlytransportation,theelectricgrid,andbroadband.
TheheadlineUS$1.2trillionamountstoperhapsaUS$500billionincreaseininfrastructureoverandabovewhatwasalreadyplanned.
ThespendingcomponentoftheInflationReductionActisheavilyfocusedonindustrialdevelopmentincleanenergyindustriessuchasrenewablepower
generationandelectricvehicles.ItalsocontainedprovisionsaimedatensuringsupplychainswereorientatedtowardfriendlycountriesandawayfromChina.
TakentogetherthethreeactscanbethoughtofasrepresentingaseriousefforttokickstartarenaissanceinUSmanufacturing.
TheriseofChinatopre-eminenceinworldmanufacturinghasbecomeanexistentialchallengefortheUS.AratchetingupofUSeffortstore-industrializeitseconomyhasbeenunderwaysinceTrump1.0.
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6
ThesecondTrumpadministrationis
puttingmoreemphasisonsupplysidereformtoimprovetheefficiencyof
USmanufacturingandtolowerthebarrierstoinvestment.
ThesecondTrumpadministrationisputtingmoreemphasisonsupplysidereformtoimprovetheefficiencyofUSmanufacturingandtolowerthebarriersto
investment.Forexample,TheSmallBusinessAdministration(SBA)haslauncheda“MadeinAmerica”manufacturinginitiativesaimedateasingaccesstofinanceandeliminatingredtapeandbureaucraticprocedures.
Inaddition,thePermittingTechnologyActionPlanaimstomaximizetheuseof
technologytospeedupandcheapentheapprovalprocessforinfrastructure
investment,whichhasbeenakeybarriertogrowingAmerica’smanufacturingandinfrastructurecapabilities.Theoverhauloffederalworkforcetrainingisdesignedtofocusresourcesonskills-basedtrainingtomeetanticipateddemandintradesandmanufacturing.
Thenofcoursetherearethetariffs.Inthecontextofindustrialrenewal,theirroleispurportedtoleveltheglobalplayingfieldandsupportdomesticindustry.ThiswillofcoursecomeatacosttotheUSeconomyintermsofdeadweightlossbutwilllikelyhaveagreaterdistributiveimpactoneconomicwelfarefromconsumerstoproducers.Indoingsotheycouldhelprebalancetheeconomyawayfrom
consumptionandtowardinvestmentwhichisobviouslyrequiredifthecurrentaccountdeficitistobeeliminated.
Thequestionthereforearises:willtheUSapproachtotradeandindustrialpolicyhelpitachieveitsgoalofre-invigoratingUSmanufacturing,breakingitstrade
dependencies,andalleviatingChina’sgriponglobalsupplychains?Orwillan
increaseingovernmentintervention,bothonthetradefrontandindomestic
resourceallocationthroughindustrialpolicy,significantlyreduceprosperityandindoingsofurtherreduceUSinfluenceintheworld?
Inthispaper,weanalyzethesizeofthetaskathand.Justhowsignificantisthereallocationofresourcesrequiredtoreduceimportdependencyandwhatarethecostsandbenefitsofdoingso?Secondly,whatevidenceistherethatthepoliciesinplacetodatearehavingthedesiredimpact?Andfinally,whatobstaclesare
therethatarenotbeingsufficientlyaddressed?
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7
USeconomicrebalancing:Howbigisthetask?
Inmanyways,theUSeconomyhasbecomethemirrorimageofChina,reflectingtheinteractionofthetwoeconomiesintheglobalmarket.
WehavewrittenextensivelyontheneedfortheChineseeconomytoundergoasignificantrebaIancing:
IsChinaseriousaboutconsumption-ledgrowth?
Chinateeterseverclosertoalostdecade
However/inmanyways/theUSeconomyhasbecomethemirrorimageofChina/reflectingtheinteractionofthetwoeconomiesinthegIobaImarket.Ifoneoftheworldstwolargesteconomiesisimbalanced,itfollowsthattheotherprobablyistootogethertheyaccountforover40%oftheworldeconomy.
WhileinChinaconsumptionhasbeensuppressed,theUShasunder-invested.
WhileChinahassavedevenmorethanitsexcessivedomesticinvestmentlevel
requires,theUShasunder-saved,requiringforeigncapitaltomeetevenitssub-optimallevelofinvestment.Inconsequence,theUShasrunperennialcurrent
accountdeficitswhiIeChinahasrunsurpIuses.ChinahasaccumuIatedsignificantnetclaimsontheoutsideworldwhiletheUnitedStateshasbecomethelargestnetdebtor.
Asof2023,Chinasmanufacturingvalue-added,measuredinnominaldollarterms,wasUS$4.7triIIionwhiIstAmerica’swasUS$2.9triIIion.Chinaaccountedfor29%oftheworIdtotaIofUS$16.2triIIion/whiIsttheUnitedStatesaccountedforjust18%.1
Inmanyways/theUSeconomyhasbecomethemirrorimageofChina/reflectingtheinteractionofthetwoeconomiesintheglobalmarket.
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8
USECONOMICREBALANCING:HOWBIGISTHETASK?
Thus,China’smanufacturingoutputinvaluetermsisabout62%largerthantheUnitedStatesdespitehavinganeconomywhichis36%smaller.
Theundervaluationoftherenminbi,ittradesatabout50%ofitspurchasing
powerparityvaIue/meansthatnominaIdoIIarcomparisonsprobabIysignificantIyunderstateChina’smanufacturingdominancerelativetotheUnitedStates.
AccordingtoUNTradeandDevelopment,forexample,in2023China
manufacturedaImostthreetimesasmanycarsastheUnitedStates:30miIIion
versus10.6million.2Inshipbuilding,Chinacommandsmorethan50%oftheglobalmarketanditssharelookssettogrowgivenitistakingabouttwo-thirdsofnewordersandistheleadingmanufacturerin14outof18vesselcategories.3TheUShasanegligibleshareofglobalcommercialshipbuilding.
Insteel,Chinaproducesmorecrudesteelthantherestoftheworldcombined
withaglobalmarketshareof53%or12timestheproductionintheUnitedStates.TheUnitedStatesproducesjust4%oftheworld’ssteel.4Inaluminum,thestoryissimilarwithChinatakingabout60%marketshareinsmelting.5
FurtherevidenceofChina’smanufacturingdominancecomesfromtradestatistics.In2024,Chinaaccountedfor14.9%ofworldgoodsexports–thelargestshare
butbynomeansoverwheImingIydominant.However/thistotaIsharedisguisesthemanufacturinghegemony.Excludingfoodandfossilfuels,China’ssharejumpsto18.3%ofworIdexports.Ofaround1/200productscIassifiedatthefour-digit
HarmonizedSystemIeveI/Chinahasmorethan50%exportsharein100categoriesandmorethan40%sharein198categories.6
Bywayofcomparison,theUnitedStateshada9%marketshareinglobalexportsin2024.Excludingfuelsandfood,thatsharefallstojust8%.Furthermore,the
UnitedStateshasmorethan50%marketshareinworldexportsinjustsixcategoriesandmorethan40%inonly13categories.7
WhenviewedthroughtheprismoftheUSgoodstradedeficit(whichstandsat
aboutUS$1.2triIIion)/thetasktheTrumpadministrationhassetitseIfbecomes
relativelyclear.Fourbroadsectorsaccountforabout80%oftheoveralltrade
deficit.Theseare:pharmaceuticaIs(HS30);vehicIesotherthanraiIwayortramwayroIIingstock/andpartsandaccessoriesthereof(HS87);eIectricaImachineryand
equipmentandpartsthereof(HS85);andnucIearreactors/boiIers/machineryandmechanicaIappIiances/andpartsthereof(HS84).AIthoughthesesectorsarebroad/theygenerallyincorporaterelativelyhighvalue-addedproductswithstrategic
importance/andAmerica’stradedeficitinthemisjustunderUS$1triIIion.
Threeofthefoursectors(HS87/HS84/andHS85)aIsohappentobethesectors
inwhichChinarunsitslargesttradesurplus.Pharmaceuticalworldexports,on
theotherhand/aredisproportionateIydominatedbyGermany/SwitzerIand/andIreland.Irelandisthefourthlargestexporterofpharmaceuticalsintheworldandisatextbookexampleofindustrialpolicyachievingitsgoals.
IftheTrumpadministration’sobjectiveistore-generateUSmanufacturingtobreaktheIong-runningtradedeficitandcriticaItradedependencies/itisimperativetounderstandtheresourcesthatwillberequiredtoachievethisobjective.
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USECONOMICREBALANCING:HOWBIGISTHETASK?
9
USmanufacturingemployment
thereforeaccountsforabout8%of
totalemploymentwhilemanufacturingcontributesabout10%ofGDP
meaninginitscurrentsizeandform,USmanufacturinghasawellabove-averagerateoflaborproductivitythantheeconomyasawhole.
Ifidleresourcescanbemobilized,thisneednotcomeatthecostofother
economicoutputbut,ifresourcesneedtobedivertedfromothereconomicactivity,therewillbeanopportunitycost.Theefficiencyoftheadditional
manufacturingwilldetermineifthisopportunitycostisgreaterorlessthantheenhancementinmanufacturing.
Intermsofresourcesdeployed,USmanufacturingemployedabout12.7millionpeoplein2024.8Thisisverysimilartothepre-pandemiclevelsofaround12.6
million.Manufacturingvalue-addedintheUSin2024wasUS$2.9trillionmeaningvalue-addedperemployeewasUS$228,000,withaverageemployeeearningsalittleoverUS$100,000peryear.
USmanufacturingemploymentthereforeaccountsforabout8%oftotal
employmentwhilemanufacturingcontributesabout10%ofGDPmeaninginitscurrentsizeandform,USmanufacturinghasawellabove-averagerateoflabor
productivitythantheeconomyasawhole.Perworkervalue-addedeconomy-wideisUS$173,000,whileex-manufacturingitisUS$168,000.9ThisimpliesthatashiftoflabortomanufacturingshouldbeGDP-enhancingiftherelativeproductivitylevelshold.
DirectcomparisonsoflaborproductivityinmanufacturingbetweentheUnitedStatesandChinaaredifficultduetothelackofclearemploymentdatainChina.
AccordingtotheWorldBank,32%ofChinas740millionemployedworkforceisemployedin“industry”,implyinganindustrialworkforceof236million.
Manufacturingandindustryarenotsynonymousbutinotherdata,manufacturingaccountsforthevastmajorityofindustrialemployment.However,manufacturingemploymentin“urbannon-privateunits”isonlyabout36million,accordingtothelaborsurveystatistics,i.e.,alittleover20%oftotal.
Initscurrentsizeandform,USmanufacturinghasawellabove-averagerateoflaborproductivitythantheeconomyasawhole.
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USECONOMICREBALANCING:HOWBIGISTHETASK?
10
Iftheobjectiveofmanufacturing
growthintheUnitedStatesistomatchaggregatemanufacturingoutputto
aggregatemanufacturingproduct
demand,thentheUnitedStateswillneedtogrowmanufacturingvalue-addedbyabout40%orUS$1.2triIIion.
Thestatisticson“industriaIenterprisesoveradesignatedsize”covercompaniesthatemployinaggregateover77millionpeopleofwhomabout60million
areemployedinmanufacturing,soabout78%ofindustrialemploymentisinmanufacturing.
Thesetwodatasets,ifextrapolatedtotheeconomyasawhole,wouldsuggestaround20%oftotalemploymentinChinaisinmanufacturing.A2022reportputthepercentageatanexact18.1%,quotingtheNationalBureauofStatistics(NBS)asasource.10
Ifwetake20%or148millionasanestimateandgiventhatChinese
manufacturingvaIue-addedin2024wasUS$4.7triIIion-thisgivesavaIue-addedperworkerofaboutUS$32/000.SinceChina’sGDPin2023wasUS$17.8triIIionandthetotalemployednumberofworkerswas740million,theeconomy-widevalue-addedperworkerwasjustUS$24/000.Theex-manufacturingvaIue-addedper
workerwouIdbeUS$22/000/makingmanufacturingproductivityabout1.45timestherestoftheeconomy.
AveragewagesinmanufacturinginChina,accordingtotheNBS,amountedtoUS$12/800peryear-about12.5%oftheUSIeveI-whiIevaIue-addedperworkerintheregionof14%oftheUSlevel.Whatthesenumberssuggestisthat,in
aggregate/thecost-benefitadvantageofChinaasamanufacturingdestinationhasreducedsignificantIyovertime/toaIeveIwheretheeconomicsarenoIongeroverlycompellingforitsinvestability.
Twoimportantpointsareworthnoting:firstIy/thereareofcoursemanyotherfactorssuchasscale,industryclusters,andinfrastructurethatarepotentiallyofgreaterimportancethanlaborproductivity.Secondly,Chinasoveralllaborproductivityinmanufacturingwillbedraggeddownbymassiveemploymentinlowervalue-addedindustriesinwhichtheUnitedStateshasnointentionofcompeting,suchastextiles.So,whiletheaggregatenumbersmaysuggestthepIayingfieIdhasIeveIedintermsofIaborcostsandproductivity/theindustry-specificdata-whichisunavaiIabIe-isimportant.
IftheobjectiveofmanufacturinggrowthintheUnitedStatesistomatch
aggregatemanufacturingoutputtoaggregatemanufacturingproductdemand,thentheUnitedStateswillneedtogrowmanufacturingvalue-addedbyabout40%orUS$1.2triIIion.SuchanobjectivedoesnotimpIyautarky/butrather
aggregatebalanceinthemanufacturedgoodstradeposition.
Atexistinglevelsofproductivity,thiswouldrequireanadditional5million
workers,whichrepresentsabout3%ofthecurrentemployedtotalworkforceof160million.Thiswouldbesimilarinabsolutetermstomanufacturingemploymentin2000priortotheChinaShock.
CurrentunemploymentintheUSisrunningat4.2%.U6unemployment,whichcapturesabroaderrangeoflabormarketslack,isrunningat7.2%or11.6millionpeopIe.BoththesemeasuresofunempIoymentarenearhistoricIows.However/itseemssafetoassumethatthereare“idleresources”(aseconomistsputit)intheUSlabormarkettomeetpartofthemanufacturingemploymentrequired,assumingnoskillsgap.
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USECONOMICREBALANCING:HOWBIGISTHETASK?
11
America’simportdependenceis
perhapsthemostproblematicin
sixindustrycategories:machinery;
computerandeIectronicproducts;
eIectricaIappIiancesandcomponents;motorvehicIes;othertransportationequipment;andmedicaIsuppIiesanddevices.
TheproductivityIeveIofaUSworkerisareflectionofthecapitaIstockthatis
employedalongsidethem.ThetotalcapitalstockoftheUnitedStates,atcurrentcost/isUS$89triIIion.OnIyasmaIIproportionofthisisassociatedwithindustry/however.
Theprivatesector’snon-residentiaIcapitaIstockisaboutUS$35triIIion.Thisis
spIitroughIybetweenUS$20triIIionofstructures/US$9triIIionofequipment/andUS$5triIIionofinteIIectuaIproperty.ThebuIkofthisisassociatedwiththeservicessectorthatdominatestheUSeconomy.11
TheUSBureauofEconomicAnalysisproducesdetailedestimatesbyindustry
ofcapitalstock.Therearesixindustrycategoriesthatrepresentareaswhere
America’simportdependenceisperhapsthemostprobIematic:Machinery;
computerandeIectronicproducts;eIectricaIequipment/appIiancesand
components;motorvehicIes;othertransportationequipment;andmedicaIdevicesandsupplies.
ThesesixindustrieshaveacapitaIstockofequipmentvaIuedatUS$582biIIion;structuresatUS$669biIIion;andinteIIectuaIpropertyatUS$657biIIiongivingatotaIcapitaIstockofUS$1.9triIIion.12Theseindustriesrepresentthebulkof
thecapital-intensivemanufacturingindustriesoutsideofthemetalssector.
NewinvestmentofUS$200biIIionayearforfiveyearsontopofdepreciationisthereforerequiredtoincreasetherelevantcapitalstockby50%.Ofcourse,otherinvestmentsaroundtheseindustries,includinginfrastructure,willberequired.
Onpaper,toreturntheUSeconomytoasituationwhereitismanufacturingasimilartotalvalueofgoodstothatwhichitisconsumingrequiresa40%increaseinmanufacturingvaIue-added;areaIIocationofabout3%oftheempIoyed
workforceor5millionpeople,fromeitherexistingemploymentorintotheworkforce/andperhapsaUS$1-1.5triIIionincreaseinthecapitaIstockassociatedwithhighvaIue-addedmanufacturing.Thesearesignificantbarrierstosuccess.
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Obstaclestosuccess
ThreeobstaclestoUSsuccessin
attractingmanufacturingarethetariffregime,skilledlaborshortage,andthecostandtimeofregulatorycompliance.
IftheUSistobesuccessfulinattractingmanufacturingandseeingtheflurry
ofproposedprojectscometofruition,andremainprofitable,therearesome
considerableobstaclestoovercome.Wewouldhighlightthree:thetariffregime;skilledlaborshortage;andthecostandtimeofregulatorycompliance.
Regulationandcompliancecosts
ThegrowthinregulationandtheassociatedcostofcompliancehavebeenasignificantheadwindforUSindustryinthepastdecade.
AccordingtotheNationalAssociationofManufacturers,thecosttomanufacturingbusinessesofcomplyingwithfederalregulationspertainingtohealthandsafety,theenvironment,tax,andhomelandsecurityhasrisentoUS$349billion.This
representsaninflation-adjusted26%risesince2012.OverUS$200billionofthis
costistocomplywithenvironmentalregulations.ThisworksoutatastaggeringUS$29,000perworkerbutbecauseofthefixednatureofmanyofthesecosts,theperworkercostisaroundUS$50,000forsmallercompaniesemployinglessthan50workers.
Forcontext,rememberthattheaveragewageinUSmanufacturingisabout
US$100,000ayearandvalued-addedperworkerisUS$228,000,somorethan12%ofthevaluebeingcreatedbyamanufacturingworkerisbeingeatenupbycompliancecosts,andtheabsolutecostofcomplianceintheUSwouldcover
ThecosttoUSmanufacturingbusinessesofcomplyingwithfederalregulationspertainingtohealthandsafety,theenvironment,tax,andhomelandsecurityhasrisentoUS$349billion.
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OBSTACLESTOSUCCESS
USmanufacturingemploymentistoriseby5million,whichweestimatetobetherequirementforanadditionalUS$1.2trillionofmanufacturingvalue-added,theskillsgapwillonlyworsenunlessdrasticactionistaken.
thecostofemployingtwoworkersinChina.AnotherwayoflookingatitisthatcompliancecostsperworkerintheUSareaboutthesameasvalue-addedperworkerinChina!
Bywayofexample,WilsonBeaverandJamesFeinattheHeritageFoundation
pointoutthattheCleanAirActrequiresthattheEnvironmentalProtection
Agency(EPA)“establishemissionstandardsthatrequirethemaximumdegreeofreductioninemissionsofhazardousairpollutants.”TheEPAthushastheauthoritytodeterminethelevelofreductionthatisnecessaryandcanreviseprevious
emissionsstandards.Thus“CleanAirActregulationskeepexpanding,moving
thegoalpostsforemissionscompliancewhenevercompaniescomecloseto
compliance.Theseincreasingregulationsimposecompliancecostsonlower-tiersuppliersthatdriveuppricesandadverselyaffectsupply-chainefficiency.”13
Suchhighcompliancecostsareclearlyabigbarriertogrowthandneedtobeaddressed,eitherbyregulatorychangeorbycuttingthecostofcompliance.
ImportshaveshieldedtheUSconsumerfromthetruecostoftheregulatory
frameworkthathasbeenputinplaceinthelast10to15years.Iftariffs“work”inthesenseofinducingimportsubstitution,thenthoseregulatorycostswillbecomealltooapparent.
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