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THEEUBLUEECONOMYREPORT2024
ThisReportwascoordinatedbytheEuropeanCommissionDirectorateGeneralforMaritimeAffairsandFisheries,andtheJointResearchCentre(JRC).ItwaspreparedbyunitMAREA4:EconomicAnalysis,MarketsandImpactAssessmentandunitsJRCC6:EconomicsofClimateChange,EnergyandTransport,JRCC7:KnowledgefortheEnergyUnionandJRCD2:OceanandWaterincollaborationwithotherCommissionservices.
ProjectCoordination(inalphabeticalorder):
SvenLangedijkandJannMartinsohn.
EuropeanCommissionauthors(inalphabeticalorder):
AntonioBorriello,AngelCalvoSantos,LaiaCodinaLópez,RiccardoCurtale,LucFeyen,NathanGaborieau,RafaelGaraffa,MichelaGhiani,JordiGuillén,LucieMcGovern,AnaNorman,AnaPeraltaBaptista,GiacomoPetrucco,AlbertoPistocchi,ManuelPleguezueloAlonso,SimoneQuatrini,EvdokiaTapoglou.
Secondaryauthors(inalphabeticalorder):
BiancaAbbagnanoTrione(Cogea,BipGroup),RodCappell(Poseidon),FlaviaCavaliere(Cogea,BipGroup),TanguyChever(ANDInternational),LucasHerry(ANDInternational),MeredithLloyd-Evans(BioBridgeLtd.),AlessandroPititto(Cogea,BipGroup),JulienPotier(ANDInternational),MichalisI.Vousdoukas(UniversityoftheAegean
Acknowledgements
Theauthorswishtothankallindividualsandorganisationsconsultedduringthepreparationofthisreportforallthesupportandconstructivecommentsprovided.SpecialthanksgotoEurostatforprovidinghigh-qualitystatisticsanddatarequiredintheanalyses.
Commentscanbesentto:
DIRECTORATE-GENERALFORMARITIMEAFFAIRSANDFISHERIES
UnitA4:EconomicAnalysis,MarketsandImpactAssessment
EuropeanCommission1049Bruxelles/BrusselBelgique/Belgi?
orbyemailto:MARE-A4@ec.europa.eu
LEGALNOTICE
ThisdocumentwaspreparedbytheDirectorate-GeneralMaritimeAffairsandFisheriesjointlywiththeJointResearchCentre.Itreflectstheviewsonlyoftheauthors,anddoesnotnecessarilyrepresenttheviewsoftheEuropeanCommission.Anyerrorsorviewsexpressedinthispaperaresolelytheresponsibilityoftheauthors.TheopinionsexpressedinthispaperarethoseoftheauthorsanddonotnecessarilyreflecttheEuropeanCommission’spositionorpolicy.TheEuropeanCom-missioncannotbeheldresponsibleforanyuseoftheinformationcontainedherein.The2024EUBlueEconomyReportsupersedesallprioreditionsofthereport.
Luxembourg:PublicationsOfficeoftheEuropeanUnion,2024.
PDF:ISBN978-92-68-16024-4ISSN2599-6584doi:10.2771/186064KL-AR-24-001-EN-N?EuropeanUnion,2024
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Howtocitethisreport:
EuropeanCommission(2024).TheEUBlueEconomyReport.2024.PublicationsOfficeoftheEuropeanUnion.Luxembourg.
2024
1
FOREWORD
WelcometotheseventheditionoftheEUBlueEconomyReport!
Afterthechallengesfromthe2022significantspikesinenergyprices,2023hasmarkedashifttowardsregainingpre-pandemicgrowthmomentum.Despitetheongoinguncertaintiesfromrecentgeopoliticalevents,suchastheconflictsintheMiddleEastandthecontinuedRussianinvasionofUkraine,thedeclineinenergypricesin2023helpedsoftensomeofthenegativeeffectsfromthepreviousyear.ThisreductioninenergycostshascontributedtoamorepositiveoutlookfortheBlueEconomy.
Theyear2023markedasignificantmilestonefortheEuropeanUnioninadvancing
itssustainabilityagenda.TheEuropeanCommissionmadenotablestepsinits‘Fitfor55’policypackageaimedatreducingtheEU’scarbonfootprint,adoptingkeyinitiativesliketheFuelEUMaritimeRegulationandtheextensionoftheEUEmissionsTradingSystem(EUETS)tothemaritimesectorasofJanuary2024.In2023,theEuropeanCommissionalsoadopteditsOceanandfisheriespackage,establishingtheEnergyTransitionPartnershipinEUfisheriesandaquaculture.
Inthisyear’sedition,youwillfindacomprehensiveoverviewofthelatesttrendsintheEU’sBlueEconomysectors,providingsector-specific,socio-economicknowledgetosupportinformeddecisionsbypolicy-makers,BlueEconomyoperatorsandstakeholders.Moreover,thereportremainsthecornerstoneoftheBlueEconomyactivitiesintheEUbyshowingapictureofthechallengesandopportunitiesfacedbyallsectors,aswellasthemaindriverstoattainitspotential,basedonthemostrecentavailabledata.Theevidencecontainedinthisreportemphasisestheneedforasustainableapproach,adaptationtoclimatechange,andintegrationofmarineecosystemservicesinthemanagementofourmarineresources,withafocusonnature-basedsolutionsandsustainablebluegrowth.
Akeysectorhighlightedinthereportisoceanenergy,whichhasexperiencedsignificantgrowthinrecentyears.Ifirmlybelievethatbyadoptinginnovativetechnologiesandharnessingtheimmensepotentialofoceanenergy,wecancreateafuturewheretheBlueEconomyprosperswhilepreservingtheenvironment,andenablingotherhumanactivitiesatsea,suchasfishing.TheEUisaleaderindevelopingenergyfromwaves,tides,andoffshorewind,withthegoalofintegratingtheserenewablesourcesintothebroaderenergylandscapetomeetitsrenewableenergytargetsandclimateobjectives.
TheEuropeanCommission’slatestcommunication,‘DeliveringontheEUOffshoreRenewableEnergyAmbitions’,outlinesanambitiousplantoboostoffshorewindcapacity,nearlydoublingthetargetssetinthe2020OffshoreRenewableEnergyStrategy.TheseinitiativesdemonstratetheEU’sstrongcommitmenttoadvancingrenewableenergyandreducingitsrelianceonfossilfuels.
AstheEUmovesforwardonitspathtowardasustainablefuture,Ibelievethisreportwillbeanessentialguide,illustratingtheEU’scommitmenttofosteringaresilientBlueEconomy,whileaddressingglobalenvironmentalandclimatechallenges.
IencourageyoutoplungeintothefindingsandrecommendationspresentedinthisreportandtoworkwithusaswechampionasustainableandthrivingBlueEconomyintheEuropeanUnion.
EnjoydivingintothedynamicworldoftheEUBlueEconomy!
VIRGINIJUSSINKEVI?IUS,
EUCommissionerforEnvironment,OceansandFisheries
FOREWORD
Theyear2023wasturbulent,withvariousglobalshocksimpactingtheEuropeanUnion(EU).Theseeventshavealsohad,andwillcontinuetohave,impactontheBlueEconomy–asustainableuseofoceanandseatobenefitoureconomiesandsocieties.The2024editionoftheEUBlueEconomyReport,whichIampleasedtopresent,mapsthesedevelopments.
UnderthisflagshipinitiativetheEuropeanCommissionmonitorscoastal,marine, andocean-relatedeconomicactivities.Theinitiativeharnessesandprocesses availableknowledgetopromoteasustainableBlueEconomy,whichisimportant toourprosperityandcompetitiveness.Inthisreport,weexplorethedynamicsofthecloseinterconnectednessbetweengeopolitical,environmentalandsocio-economicsystems.
Pasteditionsofthereporthavemadethiscollaborativeeffortakeyresourceforpolicymakersandstakeholders.Thereportsupportsthesustainabledevelopmentofoceansandcoastalresources,andtheimplementationofpoliciesandinitiativesundertheEuropeanGreenDeal.AndthisdespitethechallengeposedbythepersistentlackofdetailedandcomparabledataforallsectorsatEUlevel.
The2024editionoftheEUBlueEconomyReportanalysesthesocio-economicevolution,trendsanddriversofbothestablishedandemergingsectorsoftheBlueEconomy.ItexaminestheprogresstheEUhasmadeinitsenergytransition.ItalsoinvestigatesthepotentialimpactsofcoastalfloodsonecosystemservicesandassesseseconomicresiliencealongtheEU’scoastline.
ComplementingthisreportistheEUBlueEconomyObservatory,ouronlineknowledgegatewaythatprovidesregularupdatesontheperformanceoftheBlueEconomybysector,activityandcountry.TheObservatoryoffersadetailedoverviewofallBlueEconomysectors,highlightingtheirpotentialforeconomicgrowth,jobcreationandthetransitiontosustainability.
TheEUBlueEconomyReportandObservatorydemonstratetheCommission'sdedicationtofosteringasustainable,competitive,fairandthrivingoceaneconomy.Theseresourcesaretheresultofasignificanteffortandcommitmentofourteams.Iamconfidentthatthe2024editionofthereportwillserveasasourceofinspirationforpolicymakers,stakeholdersandinvestors.
ILIANAIVANOVA,
EUCommissionerforInnovation,Research,Culture,EducationandYouth
2024
3
CONTENTS
FOREWORD1
EXECUTIVESUMMARY4
CHAPTER1:GENERALOVERVIEWANDECONOMICCONTEXT6
1.1.GENERALECONOMICCONTEXT7
1.2.THEEUBLUEECONOMY7
1.3.OVERVIEWOFTHEEUBLUEECONOMYSECTORS7
1.4.THEBLUEECONOMYSECTORSACROSSMEMBERSTATES10
1.5.OUTLOOK11
CHAPTER2:BLUEECONOMYSECTORS12
2.1.MARINELIVINGRESOURCES13
2.2.MARINENON-LIVINGRESOURCES17
2.3.MARINERENEWABLEENERGY20
2.4.PORTACTIVITIES25
2.5.SHIPBUILDINGANDREPAIR28
2.6.MARITIMETRANSPORT30
2.7.COASTALTOURISM32
2.8.BLUEBIOTECHNOLOGY34
2.9.DESALINATION37
CHAPTER3:ENERGYTRANSITIONINTHEEUBLUEECONOMY
ANDCOASTALFLOODIMPACTS41
3.1.ENERGYTRANSITIONINTHEEUMARITIMETRANSPORT42
3.2.ENERGYTRANSITIONINTHEEUFISHINGFLEET44
3.3.ENERGYTRANSITIONPARTNERSHIPINFISHERIESANDAQUACULTURE46
3.4.COASTALFLOODIMPACTSALONGTHEEUROPEANUNION’SOUTERMOSTREGIONS
ANDOVERSEASCOUNTRIESANDTERRITORIES46
4
EXECUTIVESUMMARY
TheseventheditionoftheEUBlueEconomyReport,presentedinafreshformat,persistsinthoroughlyexaminingthescaleandbreadthoftheBlueEconomywithintheEuropeanUnion(EU).Itsprimaryaimremainstoofferguidancetopolicymakersandstakeholdersinfosteringthesustainableadvancementofoceansandcoastalresources,aligningcloselywiththeprinciplesoftheEuropeanGreenDeal(EGD).Byprovidingeconomicinsights,theReportalsoaimstoinspirepotentialinvestors.
ThisseventheditionoftheReportfocusesonasummariseddataanalysis,trendsanddriversoftheBlueEconomysectors.TheanalysisofthesectorsMarinelivingandnon-livingresources,Marinerenewableenergy(offshorewind),Portactivities,Shipbuildingandrepair,MaritimetransportandCoastaltourismisbasedondatacollectedbytheEuropeanCommissionfromEUMemberStatesandtheEuropeanStatisticalSystem.Specifically,fisheriesandaquaculturedatawerecollectedundertheEUDataCollectionFramework(DCF);datafortheothersectorsaretakenfromEurostatStructuralBusinessStatistics(SBS),PRODCOM,NationalAccountsandtourismstatistics.Alongwiththesesectors,thereadercanfindrelevantinformationoninnovativeBlueEconomysectors,namelyDesalinationandBluebiotechnology.Thesesectorsoffersignificantpotentialforeconomicgrowth,sustainabilitytransition,aswellasemploymentcreation.Comparabledataarenotyetfullyavailableinthepublicdomain,andthereforedatapresentedintheReportforthesesectorscomefromvarioussources.
Thisyear’sReportalsoincludesspecialsectionsonEnergyTransitionandClimateChangeintheEUMaritimetransportsector,ontheEUfishingfleetandthepartnershipinfisheriesandaquaculture,aswellasasectiononCoastalfloodimpactsduetoclimatechangealongtheEU27coastline,withaparticularreferencetotheEUOutermostRegions.
ThiseditionwillcontinuetakingadvantageoftheEUBlueEconomyObservatoryplatform,whichprovidesmoretimelyandregularupdatesoftheBlueEconomydatapersector,EU-27MemberStateandseabasin.Furtheranalysiswillbepublishedthroughouttheyear,asthemostrecentdatabecomeavailable,andsectorsortopicsgainmorerelevance.AnalysesaregivenfortheEU-27asawholeandbysectorandindustryforeachMemberState.Aninitialregionalanalysisisalsoenvisaged,tobecompletedwithintheEUBlueEconomyObservatory.
ThedetailedmethodologyfollowedinthisreportisexplainedintheEUBlueEconomyObservatorywebsite1.
1
https://blue-economy-observatory.ec.europa.eu/methodology-estimation-established-sectors-data_en
Accordingtothemostrecentfigures,theestablishedsectorsoftheEUBlueEconomydirectlyemployedcloseto3.59millionpeopleandgeneratedaround€623.6billioninturnoverand€171.1billioningrossvalueadded
(Table1)
.
Table1EUBlueEconomyestablishedsectors,mainindicators,
2021
Indicator
Turnover
EUBlueEconomy2021
€623.6billion
Grossvalueadded€171.1billion
€76.4billion
Grossprofit
Employment3.59million
€6.75billion
Netinvestmentintangiblegoods
Netinvestmentratio8.8%
Averageannualsalary
€26400
Notes:Turnoveriscalculatedasthesumoftheturnoverineachsector;itmayleadtodoublecountingalongthevaluechain.Nominalvalues.Directimpactonly.Netinvest-mentexcludesMaritimetransportandCoastaltourism.NetinvestmentratioisdefinedasnetinvestmenttoGrossValueAdded.
Source:Eurostat(SBS),DCFandCommissionServices.
Thesefiguresofferanunderestimatedpictureofthefullsocio-economicvalueoftheEUBlueEconomy,astheyrefertosevensectorsforwhichaccurateandcomparabledataareavailableatEUlevel,namely:Marinelivingresources,Marinenon-livingresources,Marinerenewableenergy,Portactivities,Shipbuildingandrepair,MaritimetransportandCoastaltourism.Besidesthesesectors,theBlueEconomyencompassesothermarine-basedandmarine-relatedactivities,includingemergingandinnovativesectors,forwhichacomprehensiveanalysisismorechallengingduetothepaucityofdata.Theinclusionofalleconomicactivitieswithamaritimecomponent,togetherwithindirectandinducedeffectsalongsidethevarioussupplychains,wouldsignificantlyincreasetheabove-mentionedfigures.
Amongthevarioussectors,twoareparticularlynoteworthy.Withgrossprofitsvaluedat€9.7billionin2021,Marinelivingresources,sawa24%-risecomparedto2020.Ontheotherhand,Marinerenewableenergy–mainlyoffshorewind–alsoexperiencedsignificantgrowth,resultingina45%-increasecomparedto2020,withgrossprofitsestimatedat€2.4billionandGrossValueAdded(GVA)at€3.3billionin2021.Despiteasubstantialrebound,overalltheEUBlueEconomyin2021stilllaggedbehinditspre-pandemicvalue,primarilyduetotheincompleterecoveryofCoastaltourism,withtravelrestrictionsstillbeinginplaceinseveralEUMemberStates.
WithintheEU-27,fiveMemberStatesaccountfor70%oftheentireEUBlueEconomy’sGVA:Germany,France,Spain,Italy,andtheNetherlands,inthatsequence.Intermsofemployment,thetop5MemberStatesarerespectivelySpain,Germany,Greece,France,andItaly,representingacombinedcontributionof67%oftotaljobsintheEU-27BlueEconomy.TheBlueEconomy’scontributiontonationaleconomiesvariessignificantlyacrossEUcountries,rangingfrom6%inCroatiato0.1%inLuxembourg.
ThetransitiontowardsasustainableBlueEconomy,calledforbytheEGD,isgeneratingnewbusinessopportunities,forexampleinthedevelopmentofcleantechnologiesandfuels,whichcancontributetomeetingtheambitiousEUdecarbonisationtargets.Theongoingenergytransitionhasalreadyproducedimportantresultsintermsoffuelintensityandefficiency,bothinMaritimetransportandinFisheriesandaquaculture.Forexample,fuel
THEEUBLUEECONOMY
REPORT
............................
2024
5
consumptionandCO2emissionsoftheEUfishingfleetdecreasedby25%between2009and2021.However,inthelastfewyearsfuelefficiencyhasworsened,duetorisingfuelprices.AccordingtotheScientific,TechnicalandEconomicCommitteeforFisheries(STECF),thesmall-scalecoastalfleetisgenerallymoreresilienttohigh-fuelprices,thanthelarge-scalefleet.
Fisheriesandcoastalcommunitiesarealsoparticularlyvulnerabletoclimatechange.EconomicdamagesfromcoastalfloodingintheEU-27,whichcurrentlyamountto€1billionannually,areprojectedtorisesharplyinthecomingyearsduetoglobalwarming.Withoutanincreaseincurrentlevelsofcoastalprotection,annualdamagesareprojectedtoescalatetobetween€137billionand€814billionby2100,dependingontheemissionsandmitigationscenariospursued.
CHAPTER1
GENERALOVERVIEWANDECONOMICCONTEXT
ThischapterdescribesthegeneralcontextandtherelevantbackgroundinformationinwhicheconomicdatapresentedinthisReportshouldbeinterpreted,aswellasahigh-leveloverviewoftheestablishedsectors.
1.1.GENERALECONOMICCONTEXT
Unlikethestrongreboundexperiencedin2021and2022followingtherecessiontriggeredbytheCOVID-19outbreak,in2023theGrossDomesticProduct(GDP)oftheEU-27expandedbyjust0.5%2.Nevertheless,employmentratesreachedrecordlevelsinthefirsthalfof2023,withunemploymentremainingclosetoitsrecordlow.Theseverityoflabourshortagesisgraduallyeasingbutisstillsignificant.
TheconflictsintheMiddleEastandtheRussianinvasionofUkrainehavehadanimpactontheEUeconomyandtheBlueEconomysectors,affectingenergyprices,alteringshippingroutesduetotraderestrictions,andcausingbottlenecksinthesupplychain.Theescalationinenergypricessincelate2021,compoundedbytheRussianinvasionofUkrainein2022,resultedinmarinedieselpricesdoublingfrom2021to2022.Theseeffects–andinparticularthehighpricesofmarinediesel–haveseverelyimpactedfisheries,resultinginanoveralllossforthesectorin2022.
Thesharpfallinenergypricesin2023hasalleviatedtheseimpacts,leadingtoafaster-than-expectedmoderationofpricepressures.Despitemildupwardpressurefromhighershippingcosts,inflation–which,accordingtoEurostat,hasdeceleratedfrom6.9%inMarch2023to2.4%inMarch2024–continuesonasteadydownwardtrend.Asinflationdecelerates,realwagegrowthandresilientemploymentsupportareboundinhouseholds’purchasingpowerandconsumption.Combinedwithahigherlevelofinvestment,thisconjunctionhasresultedinanEUgrowthoutlookof0.9%in2024and1.7%in2025.EmploymentgrowthintheEUissettoeasefrom1.0%in2023to0.4%inboth2024and20253.Theunemploymentrateisexpectedtoremainbroadlystableovertheforecasthorizon.
Inthiseconomiccontext,theEUBlueEconomysectors,andparticularlyMarinelivingresources,CoastaltourismandMaritimetransportinitiatedagradualrecoveryin2023whichcontinuesin2024.
Inconclusion,theeconomicforecastfortheEU-27in2024and2025presentsamixedoutlook.Whiletheannualgrowthprojectionshavebeenreviseddownward,thepaceofgrowthisexpectedtostabilisebroadlyinlinewithpotentialasofthesecondhalfof2024andinto2025.However,geopoliticaltensionsandtradedisruptionsposeriskstotheeconomicoutlook,particularlyinenergyprices,shipping,andsupplychains.Despitethesechallenges,theforecastalsohighlightsthepotentialforeconomicstabilisationandrecovery,supportedbyresilientemploymentanddeclininginflation.
1.2.THEEUBLUEECONOMY
TherearemanydifferentviewsanddefinitionsofwhattheBlueEconomyis.Decidingwhatsectorsitshouldincludeexactlyisachallengeinitself,giventhedifficultyofdelineatingtheextentofcoastal,marineandocean-relatedactivities,andtheirdirectandindirectsocio-economicbenefitsandenvironmentalimpacts.ThesechallengesareexacerbatedbythepaucityofdataforcertainmaritimesectorsandthelackofcomparabilitybetweenMemberStates’data.Toaddressthislatterchallenge,weusethelatestSBS
datapublishedbyEurostat,whichatthetimeofwritingthisReportcovertheperiod2009-2021.
AdelineationoftheBlueEconomylargelydependsonthesectorsincluded,andtheextenttowhichindirectupstreamanddownstreameffectscanbeidentifiedandmeasured.Hence,decidingwhatsectorsandactivitiestoincludewhenanalysingthecurrentstateandsizeoftheBlueEconomyisanimportantfirststep.
ForthepurposesofthisReport,andwithaviewtobeingconsistentwithitspreviouseditionspublishedsince2018,thetermBlueEconomyincludeseconomicactivitiesthatare:
(a)marine-based,includingthoseundertakenintheocean,seaandcoastalareas,suchascapturefisheriesandaquaculture,offshoreoilandgas,offshorewindenergy,oceanenergy,desalination,shippingandmaritimetransport,andmarineandcoastaltourism;and
(b)marine-relatedactivitieswhichuseproductsand/orproduceproductsandservicesfortheoceanandmarine-basedactivities;forexample,seafoodprocessing,marinebiotechnology,shipbuildingandrepair,portactivities,maritimecommunication,maritimeequipment,maritimeinsuranceandmaritimesurveillance.
Yet,theBlueEconomyalsoincludesthosepartsofthepublicsectorwithdirectcoastalandoceanresponsibilities(nationaldefence,thecoastguard,marineenvironmentalprotection,etc.),aswellasmarineeducationandresearch.Theoceanalsohaseconomicvaluethatisnoteasytoquantify,intermsofhabitatsformarinelife,carbonsequestration,coastalprotection,wasterecyclingandstoring,andprocessesthatinfluenceclimateandbiodiversity.New,emergingandinnovativeactivitiesarealsodevelopingrapidly,suchasbluebiotechnology.TheseactivitiesalsoneedtobeincludedandmeasuredtocomprehensivelyassesstheBlueEconomy.ThisworkisbeingundertakeninthecontextoftheEUBlueEconomyObservatory4,launchedinMay2022.Moredetailedanalysispersectorwillbeaddedthere,keepingthispublicationasasuccinctReport.
1.3.OVERVIEWOFTHEEUBLUEECONOMYSECTORS
OutofalleconomicsectorsrelatedtotheBlueEconomy,sevensectorscanbeconsidered‘established’inaccordancewiththeterminologyusedinpreviouseditionsofthisreport.Thesesectors–forwhichmorecomplete,accurateandcomparabledataareusuallyavailablethanforotherBlueEconomysectors–aredefinedinthisreportas:Marinelivingresources,Marinenon-livingresources,Marinerenewableenergy,Portactivities,Shipbuildingandrepair,MaritimetransportandCoastaltourism.Eachofthesesectorsisfurtherdividedintosub-sectorsassummarisedin
Table
2.
Thesesub-sectors,inturn,consistofseveraleconomicactivities.
2024
7
............................
2
https://economy-finance.ec.europa.eu/document/download/2b7b7fae-0844-4dd1-bedd-619c3544aaed_en?filename=ip268_en_0.pdf
3Ibid.
4
https://blue-economy-observatory.ec.europa.eu/index_en
Table2TheEstablishedBlueEconomysectorsandtheir
subsectors
Sector
Marinelivingresources
Sub-sector
Primaryproduction
Processingoffishproducts
Distributionoffishproducts
Marinenon-livingresources
Oilandgas
Otherminerals
Supportactivities
Marinerenewableen
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