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文檔簡介
Contents
Keytakeaways
Background
VCactivity
GenerativeAIe-commerceVCecosystemmarketmap
Prepurchase
Purchasemedium
Postpurchase
Horizontalplatforms
1
2
2
4
5
8
10
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EMERGINGTECHRESEARCH
GenerativeAIinE-Commerce
Assessingtheimpact,opportunities,and
challengespresentedbygenerativeAIstartupsinonlinetransactions
PitchBookisaMorningstarcompanyprovidingthemostcomprehensive,most
PitchBookData,Inc.
JohnGabbertFounder,CEO
NizarTarhuniVicePresident,Institutional
ResearchandEditorial
PaulCondraHeadofEmergingTechnology
Research
InstitutionalResearchGroup
Analysis
EricBellomo
accurate,andhard-to-finddataforprofessionalsdoingbusinessintheprivatemarkets.
Analyst,EmergingTechnology
eric.bellomo@
pbinstitutionalresearch@
Keytakeaways
Publishing
DesignedbyJennaO’Malley
PublishedonSeptember6,2023
?VenturefundingforgenerativeAIstartupshasgrownsignificantlysince2019,when$1.9billionwasinvestedacross105deals,to$12.7billionthroughQ12023.
Startupswithinthee-commerceenablementsegmenthavefollowedasimilarupwardtrajectoryandraisedapproximately$1.3billionin2023.
?Customerservice&contactcentertechnologiesleadallcategoriesinfundingbyahealthymargin,attractingapproximately$1.1billioninventurecapitaltodate.Conversationalcommerceapplicationspostedthesecond-highesttotalat$903.1million,followedbyAI-coreservicesat$897.7million.
?GenerativeAI’simpactonthee-commerceecosystemislikelytomaterialize
aheadofitsinfluenceonothersectorssuchasfinancialservices,healthcare,or
supplychain.Amongotherfactors,thisisdrivenbylessregulatoryoversightande-commerce’srazor-thinmarginsthatencourageinnovationandexperimentation.E-commercemerchantsalsositontrovesoffirst-partydatafromagrowing
numberofonlinetransactions.
?Thelong-termdefensibilityofmostgenerativeAIstartupsishighlyunsettled,particularlyincommerceapplications,andmanyincumbentshavea“rightoffirstrefusal.”
?Themostdisruptiveparadigmshiftweseeistheadoptionofindividualized,
autonomousshoppingassistants.Theseagentscouldresearchandtransactonbehalfofaconsumerwhileofferinganalternativetowebsitesandcheckoutfunnelsthathavebeenlargelyunchanged.DuetomyriadtechnicalandUX
challenges,thiscategoryisnascent.
1
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PitchBookAnalystNote:GenerativeAIinE-Commerce
Background
TheintroductionofChatGPTinitiatedafrenzyofactivity,bothwithinthetechnologyandinvestmentcommunitiesandwithinthebroadersocialzeitgeist,astheworld
recognizedthatrapidlyimprovinglargelanguagemodels(LLMs)andAIcapabilitieswillhaveawide-rangingimpact.AlthoughtheuseofAIine-commerceoperationsisnotnew—merchantshavelongbenefitedfromproductrecommendations,targetedadvertising,customersupportautomation,andmore—thewidespreadaccessibilityandperformanceofLLMsarepushingthee-commerceindustrytograpplewith
theirdisruptivepotential.
E-commercestakeholdershavemanyreasonstobebullish.Inthelongterm,
e-commerce’sshareofretailtransactionswillcontinuetogrowasemerging
marketsembraceonlinetransactionsandB2Bmerchantsdigitizetheiroperations.Merchantswillbeabletostreamlinecustomersupport,accelerateproductdesign,andmovefrompersonalizationtowardindividualization.Additionally,thecostof
creatingadigitalpresenceistrendingtowardabsolutezero.Thoughthebarrier
toentryforane-commerceoperationhasalreadybeendrasticallyreducedby
platformssuchasShopifyandfreelanceservicesonFiverr,thebarriermaysoonbereducedtoasingleprompt.Similarly,consumerswillbenefitfrom“n-of-1”shoppingflowsdesignedfortheirindividualneeds,whilepopularprompts—suchascreatingavacationitineraryorrecipesforadinnerparty—willbecomepurchasesonKayakorInstacart.
Despitethisoptimism,headwindsexist.Legalandregulatoryconcernsare
percolatingaslawsuitsexaminingintellectualpropertyandcopyrightriskremain
unsettled.Uncertaintyaboutthelong-termdifferentiationoftheseservicesand
thedurabilityofcompetitivemoatsalsoexists.Geopoliticaltrendsmustalsobe
consideredaftertheEUandChinaintroducedlegislationtoimproveAItransparencyandItalybannedChatGPTinApril2023overprivacyconcerns(thoughthebanwaslaterlifted).Theecosystemmayalsonecessitatearethinkingofuser-experience
paradigmstofitAI-firstservices.
VCactivity
OurQ12023ArtificialIntelligence&MachineLearningReporttracked$12.7billionindealvalueforgenerativeAIthroughQ12023.VCinvestmentintogenerativeAItoolswithe-commerceapplicationshasincreasedhealthilyovertheprevioussixyears,jumpingfrom$277.3millionin2018to$2.5billionin2022.Customerservice&contactcentertechnologiesleadallcategoriesinfundingbyahealthymargin,
attractingapproximately$1.1billioninventurecapitalthusfar.Conversational
commerceapplicationspostedthesecond-highesttotalat$903.1million,followedbyAI-coreservicesat$897.7million.
2
$1.3
$3.8
$4.7
$3.0
$6.0
$10.6
$5.0
$5.5
$8.0
$10.2
$20.0
$16.0
$38.0
119
119
PitchBookAnalystNote:GenerativeAIinE-Commerce
Notabledealsinthissegmentinclude:
?GupShup,aconversationalcommerceplatform,raiseda$340.0millionlate-stagedealinApril2022,bringingthecompany’stotalraisedto$386.4millionata$1.5billionvaluation.
?ScaleAI,aplatformfordatalabeling,syntheticdata,andenterpriseapplicationdevelopment,raiseda$325.0millionlate-stageroundinApril2023ata$7.5
billionvaluation.
?Builder,anAI-poweredapplicationdevelopmentservice,raiseda$250.0millionSeriesDinMay2023.MerchantsusingBuildercanbuildorcustomizeappsforinventorymanagement,ordermanagement,billingsoftware,andmore.The
companyhasraised$445.0millionata$553.0millionvaluation.
GenerativeAIe-commerceVCdealactivityGenerativeAIe-commercemedianpre-money
valuationanddealcount
$0.0
3
$0.0
9
$0.0
17
$0.1
24
$0.1
35
$0.1
68
$0.3
77
$0.5
104
$1.0
133
$2.4
188
$2.5
193
201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023*
Dealvalue($B)Dealcount
Source:PitchBook?Geography:Global*AsofAugust18,2023
ShareofgenerativeAIe-commerceVCdealvalue($M)bysegment*
Horizontalplatforms
$1,461.9
Postpurchase
$1,033.2
Purchasemedium
$1,501.7
Prepurchase
$1,822.0
Source:PitchBook?Geography:Global*AsofAugust18,2023
188192
133
35
104
68
77
9
24
3
17
201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023*
Medianpre-moneyvaluation($M)Dealcount
Source:PitchBook?Geography:Global*AsofAugust18,2023
GenerativeAIe-commerceVCdealvalue($M)bysubsegment*
$1,033.0
$903.1
$897.7
$598.6
$492.2
$462.1
$459.5
$335.3
$297.8
$234.6
$104.7
$81.2
Customerservice
&contactcenters
Conversational
commerce
AI-coreservices
Websites&
applications
Contentmarketing
Search
Analytics,research
>M
Videos
Images
Copy,writing&SEO
Salesenablement
Feedback
&reviews
Source:PitchBook?Geography:Global*AsofAugust18,2023
3
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PitchBookAnalystNote:GenerativeAIinE-Commerce
Prepurchase
Overview
Startupswithintheprepurchasesegmenthelpshoppersdiscoverrelevantproductsacrossshoppingchannels.ForgenerativeAIplatforms,thissegmentincludes
searchproviders,imageandtextgenerationplatforms,andcontentmarketing
services.Thissegmentisdatadrivenandintenselycompetitiveasstartupscompetewiththeenormousdatagraphs,networkeffects,andcapitalofincumbentssuch
asGoogle,Amazon,andOpenAI.Merchantscontinuetograpplewithrising
customeracquisitioncosts,privacychanges,andshrinkingmargins,allofwhich
havethepotentialtobeimpactedbygenerativeAI.Inthenearterm,marketingandcontentgenerationaretopusecasesformerchantstoimproveproductdiscovery,conversion,andpersonalization.1Inthelongterm,weexpecttoseetheaccelerationofB2Badoptionandtheemergenceofindividualizedshoppingexperiences.
Theprepurchasesegmentcontainsthefollowingcategories:
Contentmarketing:Startupsthatsupporttheoperationsofcontentcreation,incorporateanalytics,orprovidemodality-agnosticcontentacrossavarietyofdistributionchannels.
Images:Pretrainedmodelsandapplicationsthatcreateimagesbasedonuserprompts.
Videos:Platformsthatcreatevideos,whichcanbepersonalizedbaseduponuserinputs.
Copy,writing&searchengineoptimization(SEO):Servicesthatgeneratetextorcopyforusers’searchengines,orotheraggregators,toimproveproductdiscovery.
Search:Componentsthatplugintoawebsite,operateasstandaloneplatforms,oringestinternalcontenttoaccelerateproductdiscovery.
Opportunities
Targetedproductdiscovery:Searchexperiencesremainlargelybroken.Conversionratesarestuckinthelowsingledigitsandmorethan70%ofthetop200
e-commercewebsitesrequireexactterminologytobeusedinthesearchbarforthesearchtowork.2,3Near-termdisruptioninsearchwillmostlikelybenefitmediumtolargeretailersthathavesufficientproductandqueryvolume.Generalizedsearch
experienceswilllikelybedominatedbyincumbentsthatpossessunrivaleddata
graphs.Shopify’sintegrationofChatGPTintoitsShopappisanotherexampleof
improvedproductdiscoveryforsmallandmedium-sizebusinesses(SMBs)ornicheproducts.Consumerscanalsobenefitfromindividualizedshoppingassistants
thatturnpopularprompts—suchascreatingadinnermenu—intotransactions
1:“ReadyforLaunch:HowGenAIIsAlreadyTransformingMarketing,”Bain&Company,JeffKatzin,LauraBeaudin,andMaxWaldron,May23,2023.
2:“2023EcommerceConversionReport,”DigitalCommerce360,March2023.
3:“E-CommerceSearchUX,”BaymardInstitute,n.d.,accessedAugust23,2023.
5
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PitchBookAnalystNote:GenerativeAIinE-Commerce
withgrocersorInstacart.Vertical-specificapplicationstargetingacademic
research,healthcare,andlawarealsoemerging.Emergingtechnologies,likevectordatabases,Sensory’simprovedvoicerecognition,andCoactive’simprovedvisualsearch,offerdisruptivepotential.However,theabilityofthesestartupstobuild
defensiblebusinessmodels,ratherthanincumbentsintegratingopen-sourcemodelsoracquiringcompetitors,remainsunclear.
Generativeadvertisingtechnology:Brandscanconceivablygenerate
individualized,n-of-1shoppingexperienceswithuniquecopy(offeredbystartupsJasper,Anyword,andPersado),visualassets(offeredbyTreat,StableDiffusion,
andMidjourney),orproductrecommendationsbaseduponeachshopper’sjourney.A/BtestingcanalsobeautomatedbystartupslikeEvolveAItooptimizeconversionflowsandjourneymapping.AnalyticsstartupslikeCleverTaparecombiningcohortmanagementandLLMstotailormessagingforshoppers.Finally,digitizingB2B
operationsisalong-termtailwindtothee-commerceecosystem;B2BvendorswillintegrateAIservicesandtransitionfromstaticoraccount-basedmarketingtowardpersonalizationaswell.
Challenges
Legal,regulatory,andprivacyrisk:LitigationsurroundinggenerativeAIisa
materialheadwind.GettyImagesfiledsuitagainstStabilityAI,whileMicrosoft,
GitHub,andOpenAIfieldedaclass-actionlawsuitoncode-completiontools.
Someincumbents,suchasAdobe,havealreadyestablishedsafeguards,but
smallerstartupsmaynotbeabletoinsulatethemselves.4,5Additionally,terms
andconditionsvaryacrossplatforms,anditisunclearhowmuchcontentmust
bechangedfromanLLM’soutputtocircumventlegalrisk.ChatGPTwasalso
temporarilybannedinItaly,andUSlawmakersaredeterminingifSection230,a
lawthatexemptsonlineservicesfromliabilityforthecontenttheyhost,extendstogenerativeAIproviders.ChinaandtheEUhavealreadypassedregulationtargetinggenerativeAI,andnongovernmentalorganizationshavecalledforapauseon
AIdevelopment.Enterprisesarealsohighlyprotectiveofproprietarydata,and
SamsungbannedemployeeuseofChatGPTafterdiscoveringsensitivecodewas
uploadedtoitsdatabase.Additionally,theprovidenceoftrainingdataforfoundationmodelsisemergingasagrowingconcernforenterpriseadoption,accordingto
ourconversationswithstartups.Thisambiguityhasnotmeaningfullyslowed
investmentactivity,perourconversationswithinvestors,butbrandsandretailersareexpressingtrepidationindeployingfunctionalitytoproductionprocesses.
Defensibility,economicviability,andmoats:Thelong-termdifferentiationand
profitabilityofmanygenerativeAIcompaniesisunsettled.StabilityAI,creatorofStableDiffusionandanearlymoveringenerativeAI,isquicklyburningthrough
cashreserves.6Manyapplicationsusesimilartrainingdatasetsandfundamentallylackdifferentiation.MultipleinvestorswespokewithpositedthatmissingOpenAImeantmissingthesingularwinnerofthisstartupwave.Overtime,proprietary
4:“AdobeIsSoConfidentItsFireflyGenerativeAIWon’tBreachCopyrightThatIt’llCoverYourLegalBills,”FastCompany,ChrisStokel-Walker,June8,2023.
5:“AdobetoSellaNewAISubscriptionWithCopyrightServices(2),”BloombergLaw,BrodyFord,June8,2023.
6:“StabilityAIIsonShakyGroundasItBurnsThroughCashandLooksataManagementOverhaul,”Semafor,ReedAlbergotti,April7,2023.
6
Lastfinancing
founded
raised
LastfinancingLastfinancing
PitchBookAnalystNote:GenerativeAIinE-Commerce
modelsmayalsoconvergeinperformancewithopen-sourceofferingsintroducinggraduationrisk.Forstartups,generativeAIadoptionmayfollowasimilarpathofcloudapplicationswhereinearlycloudadoptionwasacompetitiveadvantage,
butultimatelyallapplicationsmigratedtothecloud,erodedthisdefense,andfacedcommoditization.
Diligence:Startupsareapproachinginvestorswithminimaltraction,which
complicatestheevalua
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