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LUMAispleasedtopresentour2025StateofDigitalreport·
In2024,wetalkedaboutthemacrolandscapecontinuingtobearollercoasterandhowsuchuncertainty
hamperedM&Aactivity.WetalkedaboutAIbecomingautility,likearailroad.Wementionedgovernments
increasingeffortstooverseeBigTechwithinboththeUSandEurope.Wenotedthattheperformanceof
publiccompanyAdTechrevenuegrowthwasimprovingsubstantially.Lastly,welaidoutaframeworkto
contextualizethemarket:“Survive,Revive,Thrive”-survivethedepthsof2023,returntogrowthin2024,andthengetsettoThrivein2025.
Well,wegotafewthingsright.
Themacroenvironmentdidimprove,interestratescamedown,inflationcamedown,andthestockmarket
respondedpositivelyin2024.
AIbecameabsolutetablestakesformarketers.Bestoflucktothose6%ofmarketerswiththeirnextjob.
Revenuegrowthcontinuedtobestrongquarterafterquarterandsofar,withthepubliclyannouncedearnings
inQ1of2025,growthcontinuestolookhealthy.
Aspredicted,M&AactivityrosesubstantiallywithnumeroustransactionsacrossAdTechandMarTech.
Thegovernmentcontinuesitscrackdown,securingcasevictoriesagainstGoogleandApple,andappearsdeeplyengagedinpursuingfurtherwinsagainstBigTech.Europehasseveralantitrustinitiativesaswell.
Andofcourse,themostconsequentialcaseforthisecosystemistheAdTechlawsuitagainstGoogle.We
wouldarguethateverypotentialconstituencybenefitsifGoogleisultimatelyrequiredtodivestwhatisarguablyitslowest-growth,lowest-margin,andmosttroublesomebusiness,includingGoogle.
We’reseeingnewentrantsrampingup.Somecompaniesareacceleratingtheireffortsthroughacquisitionsor
byexpandingtheirinitiativesinadvertising,whileothersarewell-positionedtomoveintothespace.Notably,OpenAIjusthiredFidjiSimo,formerlyofInstacartandFacebook.Givenherdeepadvertisingexperience,thatmoveseemsparticularlytelling.
So,theThrivewashappening.AdTech,MarTech,andtheNasdaqwereallupsubstantiallyuntilFebruary.The
announcedUStariffsonCanadaandMexicoandthenallcountriesaddedsignificantuncertaintytothe
markets,erasingayearofpublicmarketgains.WewouldnotethatthemarketshavereturnedsignificantlyoverthepastseveralweeksleadinguptoDMS.
Let’sthinkaboutwhattheimpactofadraconiantariffregimemightbe.Yes,there’stheshockandaweofthemarket
reaction,butperhapsthebiggestconcernisthehittobusinessconfidence.Weareencouragedbytherecenttariffdeals,butifthosedon’tfurthermaterialize,substantialtariffscoulddisruptthesupplychain,whichmayultimatelyimpactadvertisingspend.Onthepositiveside,allthemajortrends?AI,CTV,commercemedia,andmedia
fragmentation?remainfirmlyinplay.Andhistorically,majornegativedisruptions,haveoftenacceleratedthem.
EveryyearasweprepareourStateofDigitalwereflectonthemostimportanttrendsimpactingthe
ecosystem.Oftentheseendupbeingdrivenbyspecificchannels(openweb,CTV,CommerceMedia,etc.),withdiscretetrendsdrivingeach.
Thisyear,weobservedthatinfacttherearethreecoreandintertwinedforcesthataredrivingtheentire
industryforward,regardlessofchannel:theProliferationofAI,theShifttoOutcomes,andEvolvingMediaConsumption.
EvaluatingthepotentialapplicationsofAItoadvertising,wetendtothinkofthemwithinahierarchy.Atthe
base-levelyouseedailytasksandfunctions,suchasworkflow,audiencedata,measurement,andmedia
buying.OnecoulddescribeAIassoftwarethatoptimizestheseexistingtasksprimarilyforefficiency.ThenextlayerinvolvesAIsoftwaredesignedtoenhancebothefficiencyandeffectivenessacrosscontent,adcreatives,andcommunication.Nextupisalayerwhichrepresentsanewconsumerinterfacethathasthepotentialto
completelyreconstructsearchandinternetnavigation.Lastly,istheunknownunknowns.WhatarepowerfulAIsolutionsthatwehaven'tquitethoughtofyet?
WithrespecttotheLLMs,themajorplatformshavelargelybeensubscription-basedbusinessmodels.We
believeit'sinevitablethattheywillleanintoadvertisingandcommerceduetotheirmassiveuserengagement,richintentsignals,andhighpersonalizationpotential.Thesecompaniesraisedhundredsofbillionsofdollarsandwillneedtodemonstratethattheycanmonetizeallthattimeandattention.We'reseeingearlymovers
andbelievenextyearwe'llbetalkingaboutthesubstantialinitiativesoftheseplatformsastheyexpandintothesenewrevenuestreams.
AsitrelatestoproductizationofAIinAdTech,wehaveseenthesetendtomanifestintwoforms:CoPilots(humanscompletingtaskswiththeassistanceofAI)andAgents(humansdelegatingtaskstoAI).
OneofthebiggestopportunitiesinapplyingAItoanysectorisbringingefficienciestotheworkflow/human
serviceselementandadvertisingiscertainlynoexception.Advertising,asanecosystem,isheavilyservice-orientedandpeople-driven,withspecializedteamshandlingplanning,targeting,buying,optimization,and
reporting.Whiletheseteamsmaycommunicate,theirworkisoftensiloed,withplentyofmanualprocessesthroughout.
OnecaneasilyimagineaworldwhereAIre-shapesthisdynamic,onethat’snotonlyhighlydisruptiveto
existingteamstructures,butalsoincrediblypowerfulinstreamlininghowworkgetsdone.Bydeploying
intelligentagentsacrossthesetraditionallysiloed,humanworkflows,theentireadvertisingprocesscouldbecomesignificantlymoreintegrated,efficient,andeffective.
existingteamstructures,butalsoincrediblypowerfulinstreamlininghowworkgetsdone.Bydeploying
intelligentagentsacrossthesetraditionallysiloed,humanworkflows,theentireadvertisingprocesscouldbecomesignificantlymoreintegrated,efficient,andeffective.
OnecaneasilyimagineaworldwhereAIre-shapesthisdynamic,onethat’snotonlyhighlydisruptiveto
We’reallfamiliarwiththeJeffBezosquotethathasbecomeemblematicofAmazon’sstrategy,“YourMarginis
myOpportunity.”InaworldofAIintersectingwithAdvertising/AdTech,weseeservicesbecomingthefocalpointfordisruptionanddisintermediation.Saidotherwise,“YourServicesaremyOpportunity.”
DataiscriticaltoAI,andwehavebeentalkingaboutthistrendofthird-partydatashiftingtofirst-partydataforthelastfiveyearsastheecosystempreparedforaworldwithsignificantlyless3rdpartydata.
AfterfiveyearsofbeingtoldbyGooglethatcookiesaregoingtogoawayimminently,infacttheyarenot.
DespitethischangeinGoogle’sposition,theecosystemhasmovedon,andwhethercookiesarehereornot,justdoesnotmattertotheecosystemanymore.
Thistrendtowardsfirst-partydataisnotreversing,despiteGoogle’srenegeoncookiedeprecation.Platforms
havealreadyrealizedtheimmensevalueoffirst-partydata.Organizationsareincreasinglylearninghowtoharnessboththedatatheyownandthesignalstheycancapturemoreefficiently.Themomentumisstill
strong,andwecontinuetomovesteadilyinthisdirection.
TheconvergenceofAIwiththebroadermovetofirst-partydatacouldn’tbebettertimed.WithoutAI,thisshift
wouldbefarmorechallenging,particularlyasweshifttowardleveragingmoreprobabilisticsignalsinmeasurementandadbuyingoptimization.Probabilisticmethodologiescanbeincrediblycomplexandhistoricallyslow,howeverwhencombinedwithAI,we’reseeingwhatfeelslikeatrueprobabilistic
renaissance.
AsyoumoveuptheAIhierarchy,youreachthelayerswherebenefitstoefficiencyandeffectivenessbecome
critical—andCreativesitsrightatthecenterofthat.Ontheproductionside,Creativehastraditionallybeenahighlymanualprocess,butwiththeriseofGenerativeAI,there’stremendouspotentialtostreamlineandscalecontentcreation.Moreimportantiswhathappensbeneaththesurface,whereAIpairedwithCreativeData
candrivegreatereffectiveness.AIenablesrapiditeration,precisecontextualalignment,andpersonalizationatscale,ensuringthatCreativenotonlylooksgoodbuttrulyresonateswiththerightuserintherightmoment.
Anothertrendwe’vebeenseeingisashiftinhowbrandscommunicate,movingclosertowhereconsumers
arealreadyspendingtimevs.drivingthemtoalandingpageorsite.AIwillplayacriticalroleinenablingthis
transition.Traditionally,brandshaveengagedwithcustomersacrossvarioustouchpointsthroughpaid,owned,andearnedmedia.Thinksearch,social,pushnotifications,SMS?alltypicallydesignedtodrivetrafficbacktoonecentralhub:thebrand’swebsite,wheretheyhavefullcontroloverthemessageandexperience.
WiththeriseofAI,brandsnowhaveagrowingopportunitytoengageintrueone-to-oneconversationswith
customerswheretheyare–onSocialandMessagingplatforms.Thismeansnotonlycollectingvaluable
informationanddeliveringpersonalizedcontent,butinsomecases,alsotransacting.Thesuccessof
Manychatisemblematicofthistrend.LUMAadvisedManychatonit’srecentlyannounced$140mmSeriesBfinancingledbySummitPartners.Manychatpowerstheseinteractionsforbrands,creators,andprosumerstocommunicatetheiraudiencesontheplatformsthoseconsumersspendtime(socialappsandmessaging).
Theverdictisclear:sometimesnewtrendsappearasshinyobjects,onlytofadewithoutdeliveringreal
impact.AI,however,isnotoneofthosetrends.Itisatruegamechanger.
Infact,MarkZuckerbergwentevenfurther,suggestingthatAI-drivenproductivitycouldmakeadvertisinganevenlargercontributortoGDP,transformingarelationshipthathasremainedstablefordecades.
Thereremainopen-endedquestionsaroundthepotentialdisruptiveimpactsofAIontheindustry.
IPcredit?whogetsthecreditforanAIsummarythatutilizesIPcontentifthepublisherdidn'tcutalicense
deal?Agenticgovernance?whatguardrailsdoweputontheagentsthataregoingto(autonomously)
completetasksandworkflowsonbehalfofecosystemconstituents?Search/WebDisruption–whataretheimplicationsforthepublisherecosystemshouldthetopofthefunnelshiftentirely?Lastly,theInnovator’s
Dilemma–howdoincumbentsembracethistechnologywhilealsoensuringtheviabilityandsuccessoftheirexistingbusinesses?
ThereisanarrativethatsuggeststhisconflictinAdTechbetweenAI-Firstcompanies(David)andthescaled
AdTechincumbents(Goliath).ApervasivesentimentisthattheseAI-Firstcompaniesaregoingtotherendertheincumbentcompaniesuseless.Yes,they'regoingtobedisruptivebutsuggestingtheywillkillincumbentsignoresoneofthesinglemostpowerfulforcesinbusiness:inertia.
We’vespentalotoftimethinkingaboutwhattrulydrivessuccessforAIinthisspace.Atitscore,youneedthe
AIengineorproductitself,whichinturnrequiresdata—thelifebloodofAI.Whilethesetwocomponentsareessentialtogetstarted,asnoted,inAdTech,theydon’tmeanmuchwithoutaccesstobothDemandand
Supply,andideallyatscale(thisiswhereinertiacomesin).ScaledDemandand/orSupplyaccessarecrucialforeffectivelyapplyingandleveragingAI,astheycreateacontinuousfeedbackloopthatfuelsfurtherdataintothesystem,addingvaluetotheAIengine.Thereareuniqueaspectstoallcomponentsofthisflow,from
variousdemandorsupplysideaccesspoints,touniqueAImodels,anddatastrategiesthatrangefromowningunique,valuabledatatoprovidingstrongdataprocessing/cleaningbuiltforAIutilization.
Itbecomesevenmoreinterestingwhenyouintroduceagentsintotheequation.Agentsareonlyeffectiveif
they’refullyintegratedintotheecosystem.Theyneedtobeabletointeractwiththeunderlyingsystemsandadjustthenecessaryparameterstobeeffective.
However,ifyouhaveAIoragentsrunningcriticaladvertisingfunctions,bothdemandandsupplyneedtotrust
thattheplatformisrunninginthebestinterestofthecustomerandisworkingcorrectly.Gainingtrustand
alreadyhavingscaleiswherethesecoincidingforcesbecometrulypowerful.Scalebringsinawealthofdata,whichfeedstheecosystemanddrivesgreaterimpact.We’realreadywitnessingthiswithmajorplatformslikeGoogle,Apple,andAppLovin,wheretheirshifttowardAImodels,evenatscale,hasenabledthemto
significantlyaccelerategrowth.Whiletheremaybe“trust”concernsbroadlyrelatedtotheseplatforms,forthemarketersleveragingthesystems,thereiscurrentlysignificanttrustindrivingresults.
Giventheseevolvingdynamics,theonlyoptionistoleanin.OuradviceasitrelatestoAI:BuildFastorBuy
Fast.Youneedtogettomarketquickly,becauseifyoudon’t,yourcompetitorswill.
AIhasthepotentialtosubstantiallyshortenthestartuplifecycle.Traditionally,buildinginfrastructure,sales
teams,andago-to-marketstrategycouldtakeanywherebetween5to10+years.However,AIstartupscanaccomplishthisinafractionofthetimeandwithsignificantlylesscapital.AgreatexampleofthisisPerion’srecentlyannouncedacquisitionofGreenbids,anAI-enabledmediabuyingoptimizationbusinessthat
launchedinlate2022.
TheOutcomesEraishereandrepresentsanimprovementtothehistoricalproxy-basedapproach.
We’vebeentalkingaboutthisforover10years.Theadvantagesofmigratingtowardaperformancemodelare
twofold.First,ithelpsmitigateissueslikefraud,bots,andviewability.Whenyou’reonlypayingfortheoutcome,thoseconcernsbecomelessrelevant.Second,itcreatesamuchstrongerbusinessmodelbycombiningscaleandautomationwhichboostsoperatingleverage.
Backin2018,wediscussedafundamentalshifttakingplace.Gamerswereamongthefirsttounderstandthe
relationshipbetweenCACandLTVandapplyittomarketing.Soonafter,appmarketersandthendirect-to-
consumerbrandsadoptedthisoutcome-basedapproach.Wepredictedthateventuallyallmarketerswould
followsuit,treatingperformanceadvertisingnotasadiscretionaryexpense,butmoreasacostofgoodssold.
So,whyisthisshiftacceleratingnow?It'sacombinationoffactors:achangingdatalandscape,increasing
advertiserdemanddrivenbyCMOspushingforaccountabilityandefficiency,publisherneedfornewdemandsources,and?mostimportantly?theenablementprovidedbyAI.
Muchofthistransformationwastriggeredbythecollapse(oranticipatedcollapse)ofthird-partydata.This
shiftforcedmanyofthetopadvertisingplatformstoadoptnewstrategies,whichultimatelymovedthemoffbottomfunneldeterministicmeasuresandforcedanewparadigmtiedtooutcomes.
Thiswasmostevidentinsomeofthemobileappplatforms,whoweredirectlyimpactedbythelossofIDFAas
AppleshiftedtoiOS14.TheneartermimpactoncompanieslikeMeta,AppLovin,andGooglewassignificant.ButtheyadaptedquicklybypivotingtoAIandembracingmoreprobabilistic,deep-learningmodelstopredictoutcomesandmeasurebasedonConversionAPIs(CAPIs),ratherthansimplyrelyingondeterministic3rd
partytracking.
IMAGE
Historically,deterministicmeasurementwasthedefault.Itwassimpleandconvenient,focusingonbottom-of-the-funnelmetricslikelast-clickattributionand(MTA)models.Theseapproachesworkedwellforplatforms
thatcouldsupportthem,buttheyalsocreatedsignificantproblems.Theyintroducedperverseincentives,wereeasilymanipulated,whichoftenencouragedbehaviorsthatdidn’talignwithtrueperformanceorlong-term
value.Inshort,itwasn’tanidealorsustainablewaytooperate.
Meanwhile,probabilisticmethodshavealwaysbeenpossible,thoughtheyweredifficulttoadoptatscale
becauseoftheircomplexity,costandtimeintensive-nature.Theyrequiredpullingtogetherlarge,disparatedatasets,buildingcomplexmodels,andextractinginsightsandrecommendations,allofwhichwasslow,
expensive,and(mostcritically)disconnectedfromtheday-to-daymediabuyingandoptimizationprocess.
AIenablesprobabilisticapproachestobecomefaster,moreaccessible,andmoreintegratedintoreal-time
mediabuying.Asaresult,methodologieslikeMMMandIncrementalityarebecomingfarmorepracticaland
scalable.That’swhywe’reseeingasurgeincompaniesfocusedonthisspaceandabroadershiftfromstaticinsightsandrecommendationstowardpredictivemeasurementandpredictivebuying.Asthesesystemsbegintoiterateandlearntogether,wemovetowardthenextfrontier:PredictiveOutcomes.
We’realreadystartingtoseethetraditionalboundariesbetweendata,measurement,andmediaexecution
begintoblur.Overthepastdecade,thesefunctionswerelargelyseparated?dataplatformssupplied
executionandmeasurementcompanies,measurementfirmshandledattributionandanalytics,andmedia
platformsexecutedcampaigns.Butthat’schanging.Ascompaniesre-evaluatehowtheyusetheirdata,
they’rerealizingthere’ssignificantvalue,notjustinanalyzingperformanceafterthefact,butinpushingdataandsignalsupstream,intothepre-bidandpredictivephasesoftheprocess.Thiscreatesopportunitiesto
drivetheoptimizationandcollapsessomeofthedistinctionsbetweenmeasurementandexecution.
We’veseenastrongtrendofcompaniesconvergingacrosstheAdTechstack.Executionplatformsare
lookingtoaddmoredataandmeasurementcapabilities,whilemeasurementcompaniesaremovingclosertooptimization.Injustthelastsixmonths,severaldealsreflectthisshift.
Broadlyspeaking,theshifttowardoutcomesisreshapinghowwedefineperformanceinadvertising.
Traditionally,performancewasseenasbottom-of-funnel,focusedonlow-costinventory,short-termactions,anddeterministicmeasurement.Meanwhile,brandadvertisingsatatthetopofthefunnel,emphasizing
awarenesswithhigh-valuemediaandrelyingonproxieslikereachandfrequency.
What’sexcitingnowistheopportunitytouseAIandprobabilisticmethodstobridgethatgap.
WiththecombinationofAIandProbabilisticmethods,wecanstartlinkingbrandsignalsdirectlytooutcomes,
usingpredictivecapabilitiestomakebrandbuyingmoreoutcome-driven.Ultimately,thismeansadvertiserscanmeasureimpactbasedonactualoutcomes,identifywhichKPIsarepredictiveofsuccess,andshiftfrombuyingimpressionsoraudiencestobuyingagainstKPIs?sometimeswithguarantees?alignedtobusinessresults.Long-term,thiscouldshiftalladspendtowardsacostofgoodssoldvs.adiscretionaryexpense.
Withtheshifttowardoutcomes,thedynamicbetweenCFOsandCMOsisevolving.CMOsareunder
mountingpressuretodemonstrateROI,atrendunderscoredbyarecentIABstudyshowingthat70%ofBrandsarefeelingpressuredtodemonstrateROI.
Whenconnectingspendtooutcomes,CFOsandCMOscancometogethertoalignonhowbesttoleverage
advertisingspendtodriverealbusinessresults.
EvaluatingthechannelsthatareleaningintoOutcomes,MobileAppstandsoutastheearlyadopterof
performancemonetizationanduseracquisitionmodels.TherearetwocriticalgrowthchannelsinDigital
AdvertisingthataresimilarlyleaningintoOutcomesinabigway:CommerceMediaandCTV.Commerce
Media,withitsclosetiestothetransactionisinherentlyoutcomefocused.Meanwhile,CTV,whichhistoricallyishistoricallyverybrand/awarenessfocused,isincreasinglybecomingaspaceforinnovationandgrowth
towardsOutcomes.EveryoneintheCTVecosystemisleaningintothisopportunity,bothtraditionalTVplayersandCTVfirstplatforms.
WithrespecttoCommerceMedia’sroleintheecosystem,youcan’tmeasureoutcomeswithoutvisibilityinto
transactions?youneedtoseethecommercehappening.That’sfundamentallythegoalofadvertising,andtheclosed-loopattributionenabledbyCommerceMediasignalsisincrediblypowerful.What’schangedoverthepastfewyearsisthepermissionstructure:companiesthathaveaccesstothesetransactionsignalsandcustomerrelationshipsarenowrealizingthey’reallowedtostartadvertisingdirectly.
ThesedynamicshaveenabledCommerceMediatoevolveintoamassiveindustry,generatingaround$60
billionofspendintheU.S.alone.Todate,muchofthisenergyhasbeenfocusedonO&Osolutions,wherebyretailersandothercommercecentricconsumerplatformshaveaddedadvertisingtotheirownuser
experience.
However,revenueisn’tevenlydistributed.Themajorityhasalignedtothetopplayers,suchasAmazonand
Walmart.Thesetwoplatformsareheavilyfocusedonowningthisspacefromafirst-partytechnology
perspective.Theyhaveshiftedfromprimarilymakingmoneyonthemarginsforsellinggoodstoconsumerstoonewherethetechnology/platformtheyprovidetobrandsisbecomingtheprimaryfinancialdriveroftheir
business.
Theremainingplayersaccountforroughly$9billioninspending.Manyofthesecompaniesenteredthespace
withgreatenthusiasm,butthatexcitementisbeginningtowaneastheyfacetherealitiesandchallengesof
operatingasmediacompanies.Themassfragmentationofthelong-tailofCommerceMedianetworks,pairedwithalackofstandards,lowdegreesofoptimization,andrelianceonthird-partyvendorsmakesitan
ecosystemripefor(andinneedof)aggregation.
Consolidationofmassfragmentationbecomesmoreimportantasyouthinkaboutthebiggeropportunityin
CommerceMedia?takingthatdataandmovingitoffplatform.Todriveoutcomesatscale,youneedtobe
tyingcommercesignalstoallthesedifferentchannels,notjustonO&OCommerceMedia.ExtendingdatatotheWalledGardens,CTV,andtheOpenWebenablesOmni-Channeloutcomesatscale,andthemajor
playershavebeendoingthis.
Amazonhasdonethisfromafirst-partytechnologyapproach.TheyhavetheirownDSPandareinvesting
heavilyintogrowingtheirmarketpresencethere.TheyhavemultipleCTVassetsacrosshardware,
distribution,andcontent.Andveryinterestinglyinthelastfewyears,they’vestarteddrivingalotof
partnershipswiththemajorsocialplatforms,evenastheyarebecomingmorecompetitivewiththoseWalledGardens–emblematicofhowcriticalCommerceSignalis.
OthersintheindustryarefollowingAmazon’slead.Thelargestcompanieswithaccesstoconsumersare
announcinginitiatives–inventoryanddatapartnerships–toaggregatetheirscaled,uniquedataandbringittobearacrosstheadecosystem.Ratherthanacquirethetechnology,mostaredoingthisviapartnerships,thoughthereareafewexceptions,suchasWalmart’sacquisitionofViziotoattainO&OcapabilitiesinCTV.
CTVismovingtowardOutcomes.Justconsiderwhat’shappenedoverthepastfewyearsasframedbyan
Economicssupplyanddemandchart.
WithviewersshiftingtowardSVOD,therewasinitiallyashortageofpremiumadinventorycomparedtolinear
TV.
Fast-forwardto2022-23whenthepreponderanceofSVODvendorsleanedintoad-supportedmodelstodrive
greatermonetizationontopofsubscriptions.ProliferationofFASTasacategoryandtheseAVODtiers,especiallyAmazonPrimeVideo,contributedtoadelugeofinventory.
Wherewesittoday,CTVisnolongerasupply-constrainedchannel.WithcontinuedshiftofeyeballstoCTV
(fromLinear)andtheriseofplatformslikeYouTubeandPrimeVideo,moreandmorestreamingplatformsareleaningintoperformanceasanopportunitydriverevenuesbyreachinganewcategoryofadvertiser.
Wherepeoplespendtheirtimeshowsasignificant?andgrowing?concentrationwithinbothWalledand
HedgedGardens.
Historically,Social,StreamingDistribution,andSubscriptionCTVwereconsumedandperceived(bythead
ecosystem)asseparate,siloedecosystems.
Thatischanging.Theseplatformsarealigningandincreasinglyfocusingonvideoentertainment,allsupported
byadvertising.Contentfromtheseplatformsspansshort-formandlong-form,thoughtheyareincreasinglyintertwinedanddirectlycomparable,withsomecompanies,likeYouTubeandSpotify,operatingacrosstheentirespectrum.
Thepopularityofshort-formvideohasskyrocketeddrivingplatformssuchasYouTube,Meta,andTikTokthat
didnothaveclearcompetitorstobegincompetingdirectly.We’vealsoseenanincreasingconvergence
aroundlongform,videopodcastingatthesametimethemediumbecomesincreasinglycredibleinthemedialandscape.Infact,therecentelectionhasbeendubbedthe“podcastelection”duetothesignificantinfluenceofthiscontent.Thesetooarebleedingintoshort-form,withpodcastclipsemergingasgrowthformatinshort-formvideos.Overall,there’saclearconvergencehappeningaroundthisnewformofmedia.
Partofthistrendhasbeendrivenbytheplatformsthemselves,astheyincreasinglyfocusonincreasing
consumertimespentandgearingthemtowardsentertainmentover“social”.IfyouconsiderInstagram’s
currentusecase,it’snolongerprimarilya“socialplatform”whereyouconnectwithanetworkoffriends.IthasshiftedtofocusheavilyonanInterestGraph,whichhasmoretodowithwhatyou’rewatchingthanwhoyou
areconnectedtoo.
Infact,in2024just7%ofpeople'stimeonInstagramwasspentviewingtheir“Friends”content.
User-generatedcontenthasalsomadeitswayintotheLivingRoom,withYouTubeleadinginshareofTV
viewershipaccordingtoNielsenGaugedata.
Infact,TVisnowtheprimarydeviceforconsumptionofYouTubecontent.
WetalkedyearsagoabouthowthedefinitionofTVwouldberecategorized.Therecategorizationwas
historicallydrivenbysupplyconstraintsandtheinclusionofotherPremiumVideodeliveryplatforms,buttodayisdrivenbyaconvergenceoftheseplatforms.WhenYouTubeisthemostwatchedappinthelivingroomandconsumersspendhourswatchingclipsontheirphones,itshiftstheconsiderationdynamicsbetween“UGC”
and“primetime”andforcesare-definitionofwhatshouldbeconsidered“premium”videoentertainment.
Unsurprisingly,thetime,intent,andattentiondevotedtothesechannelshavedrivenmassiveadspend.
Today,SocialPlatformsandCTVDistributionchannelscollectivelyaccountforover$300billioninadvertisingspend.
Asalltheseplatformsevolveintoformsofvideoentertainment,Creatorsbecomemorecentraltocontent
consumption.We’reseeingaconvergenceinformat,butatthesametime,afragmentationaround
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